Wake Forest
Wake Forest University · 2026 · ACC
Wake Forest is 2-0 and ranked 41st in overall efficiency. Their 36th-ranked defense carries them, with a 42nd-ranked offense. They run the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 32nd-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 37th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Akron | Mid-American | #107 | W 38–16 | +19.0 | 100% | 19.1 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Purdue | Big Ten | #65 | W 38–36 | +4.0 | 100% | 5.8 | Q3 |
| 3 | vs Miami-FL | ACC | #7 | Preview | -13.1 | 22% | — | Q1 |
| 4 | @ Louisville | ACC | #48 | Preview | -2.0 | 45% | — | Q2 |
| 5 | vs Stanford | ACC | #108 | Preview | +19.3 | 87% | — | Q4 |
| 6 | @ NC State | ACC | #53 | Preview | -1.4 | 47% | — | Q2 |
| 7 | @ California | ACC | #72 | Preview | +6.1 | 64% | — | Q3 |
| 9 | vs Virginia | ACC | #22 | Preview | -3.9 | 41% | — | Q2 |
| 10 | vs Merrimack | FCS Independents | — | Preview | +43.0 | 99% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | @ SMU | ACC | #20 | Preview | -10.5 | 27% | — | Q1 |
| 12 | @ Georgia Tech | ACC | #93 | Preview | +10.0 | 72% | — | Q4 |
| 13 | vs Duke | ACC | #44 | Preview | +3.5 | 58% | — | Q3 |
2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Wake Forest, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 119th · Finishing 30th
Field position 50th · Finishing 37th
3.60 points per drive on offense, 2.52 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(35) | 51% / 49% | 46% | 6.4 |
| Q2(37) | 54% / 46% | 59% | 10.1 |
| Q3(30) | 43% / 57% | 43% | 7.8 |
| Q4(31) | 42% / 58% | 39% | 4.6 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(23) | 10.3 | 39% | 10.0 |
| 2nd(23) | 8.7 | 52% | 7.9 |
| 3rd(17) | 8.7 | 35% | 8.5 |
| 4th(1) | 15.0 | 100% | 15.0 |
| All (64) | — | 44% | 8.9 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(35) | 9.5 | 40% | 5.1 |
| 2nd(24) | 6.3 | 54% | 6.6 |
| 3rd(8) | 4.0 | 75% | 4.0 |
| 4th(2) | 1.0 | 100% | 17.0 |
| All (69) | — | 51% | 5.9 |
Wake Forest, all games.